Matchup: Central Michigan vs. Ball State

Vegas Line: Central Mich. -1.5

Room44B Predicted Line: Central Mich -3

Room44B Minimum Value Moneyline: Central Mich -195

Analysis

Central Michigan comes in as a slight favorite from Vegas in this matchup. As you can see, the model likes the matchup in every facet of the matchup. Central Michigan’s primary advantages are on offense, as Ball State has struggled at times on offense, with the 102nd ranked overall offense.

Central Michigan Closest Prior Matchup Score:

54-49

Ball State Closest Prior Matchup Score:

28-25

All the factors here point to Central Michigan as having the more potent offense, while Ball State will look to stall their possessions, and rush the ball well enough to shorten the game and stay in it just enough to keep their fans excited and take advantage of home field. Unfortunately for them the model sees Central Michigan covering the spread.